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PMQs is about to start.
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Here is the list of MPs down to ask a question.
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England’s poorest students will be more than £1,000 worse off this academic year than the last, according to a new analysis that warns of “significant hardship for many this winter”. My colleague Sally Weale has the story here.
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A mayor in north-east England who was due to attend a meeting with the transport secretary to discuss train cancellations in the region has said he will have to take part by Zoom – because he cannot be certain he will be able to get there by train. Jamie Driscoll, the north of Tyne mayor who is having to miss the meeting, told the Today programme this sort of problem was becoming routine. He said:
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We’ve had a transport for the north meeting in Manchester and the mayors couldn’t get there because the trains were cancelled. The irony of it, it would be funny if it wasn’t so serious.
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My colleague Tobi Thomas has the story here.
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There is more bad news for Rishi Sunak at the ConservativeHome website this morning. It carries out a regular survey of Conservative party members, asking how they think cabinet ministers are performing, and it shows that Sunak is now rated as one of the worst-performing ministers in his cabinet. He has gone from fifth in the table, on a net approval rating of 49.9, to sixth from bottom, on a net approval rating of 9.
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Three of the ministers who are doing worse are not even full members of the cabinet, and so the only proper cabinet ministers doing worse are Grant Shapps, the business secretary, and Jeremy Hunt, the chancellor.
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Hunt’s performance must be linked to a related finding from the survey, published yesterday: a plurality of Conservative party members do not support the government’s economic policy.
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Sunak, of course, was chosen by MPs. He lost to Liz Truss when Conservative party members chose a leader in the summer, and he became leader in October because he ended up as the only candidate with enough nominations from MPs who wanted to stand.
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As Paul Goodman explains in his write-up for the website, the survey also shows the average performance score for the cabinet is at a record low. “The panel has clearly felt that the government, in its various manifestations, has not been performing well for some time,” he says.
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Steve Barclay, the health secretary, issued a statement this morning in response to the strike announcement from Unison. He said that its call for an above-inflation pay rise was “not affordable”. He said:
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\n
I’m hugely grateful for the hard work and dedication of NHS staff and deeply regret some will be taking industrial action – which is in nobody’s best interests as we approach a challenging winter.
\n
Our economic circumstances mean unions’ demands are not affordable. Each additional 1% pay rise for all staff on the Agenda for Change contract would cost around £700 million a year.
\n
We’ve prioritised the NHS with record funding and accepted the independent pay review body recommendations in full to give over one million NHS workers a pay rise of at least £1,400 this year, with those on the lowest salaries receiving an increase of up to 9.3%.
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This is on top of 3% last year when public sector pay was frozen and wider government support with the cost of living.
\n
Our priority is keeping patients safe during any strikes and the NHS has tried and tested plans to minimise disruption and ensure emergency services continue to operate.
\n
My door remains open to discuss with the unions ways we can make the NHS a better place to work.
\n
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Good morning. Rishi Sunak is preparing for PMQs this morning. It will be only his fifth exchange with Keir Starmer, and he may be wondering what happened to the notion about new prime ministers enjoying a honeymoon in their first few weeks in post. As he ponders what Starmer might ask about, he will realise that the outlook is dire. Here, in no particular order, are 10 of the problems he has to address.
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1) Strikes are escalating. Today Royal Mail workers, university lecturers and sixth-form college staff are all taking industrial action. And last night Unison announced that health workers in England, including ambulance staff and 999 call handlers, have voted to go on strike, probably before Christmas. Christina McAnea, the Unison general secretary, said:
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The decision to take action and lose a day’s pay is always a tough call. It’s especially challenging for those whose jobs involve caring and saving lives.
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But thousands of ambulance staff and their NHS colleagues know delays won’t lessen, nor waiting times reduce, until the government acts on wages. That’s why they’ve taken the difficult decision to strike.
\n
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2) The Tory split over onshore windfarms is no closer to getting resolved. Today the Times reports that Sir John Hayes has now got 19 colleagues to back an anti-windfarm amendment to the levelling up bill, as a counter to the pro-windfarm one tabled by Simon Clarke.
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3) Rail transport is still terrible in the north of England. Metro mayors in the north are meeting Mark Haper, the transport secretary, today and Tracy Brabin, the Labour West Yorkshire mayor, says: “This chaos is having a devastating impact on the northern economy.”
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4) And drivers who have been held up by Just Stop Oil protests are still angry about the disruption. Today Suella Braverman, the home secretary, is meeting police chiefs to discuss the problem.
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5) Labour is launching a new attack over the windfall tax. Sunak may have thought that the relatively wide windfall tax in the autumn statement would neutralise this as a campaign argument for Labour, but today the opposition that its own plans for a beefed up windfall tax could raise another £17bn.
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6) Tory China hawks were not impressed by Sunak’s “robust pragmatism” rhetoric in his speech on Monday, and are pushing for a tougher response to the arrest and assault of a BBC journalist by police in Shanghai.
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7) Michael Gove’s journalistic back catalogue is making it hard for Sunak to attack Labour over its plan to put VAT on private school fees. The shadow education secretary, Bridget Phillipson, posted this on Twitter on Monday.
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“Removing the tax advantages of private schools would boost standards in the state sector and raise vital extra funds.”
For once, I agree with Michael Gove. It’s just a shame the Prime Minister doesn’t. https://t.co/LZUXBzjpwR
— Bridget Phillipson (@bphillipsonMP) November 28, 2022
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8) The government still has not got a credible plan for reducing the number of people crossing the Channel in small boats.
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9) NHS waiting times are still at record highs, and winter has not even properly started yet.
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10) Polling for the Conservative party remains abysmal. “The Conservative brand is in as bad a state as I have seen in all my years of polling,” said Lord Ashcroft, the former Tory deputy chairman and leading pollster in a report out at the weekend. In a report full of depressing charts for the Tories, the one below was probably the worst. It shows that, on the two issues that matter most to voters, Labour has a decisive lead over the Conservatives. (If it were not for the cost of living metric, the chart would show Labour having the biggest lead on the issue of most importance to voters, the NHS, which is polling nirvana for a political party).
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Here is the agenda for the day.
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9.15am: Mel Stride, the work and pensions secretary, gives evidence to the Commons work and pensions committee.
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9.50am: Dame Jenny Harries, head of the UK Health Security Agency, gives evidence to the Commons science committee about lessons to be learnt from coronavirus pandemic. At 10.30am Neil O’Brien, the health minister, gives evidence, and at 11.15am Dame Kate Bingham, chair of the vaccine taskforce, gives evidence.
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10am: Mark Drakeford, the Welsh first minister, gives evidence to the Commons Welsh affairs committee.
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12pm: Rishi Sunak faces Keir Starmer at PMQs.
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1.30pm: Kemi Badenoch, the international trade secretary, gives evidence to the Commons international trade committee.
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I try to monitor the comments below the line (BTL) but it is impossible to read them all. If you have a direct question, do include “Andrew” in it somewhere and I’m more likely to find it. I do try to answer questions and, if they are of general interest, I will post the question and reply above the line (ATL), although I can’t promise to do this for everyone.
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If you want to attract my attention quickly, it is probably better to use Twitter. I’m on @AndrewSparrow.
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Alternatively, you can email me at andrew.sparrow@theguardian.com
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Key events
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PMQs is about to start.
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Here is the list of MPs down to ask a question.
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England’s poorest students will be more than £1,000 worse off this academic year than the last, according to a new analysis that warns of “significant hardship for many this winter”. My colleague Sally Weale has the story here.
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A mayor in north-east England who was due to attend a meeting with the transport secretary to discuss train cancellations in the region has said he will have to take part by Zoom – because he cannot be certain he will be able to get there by train. Jamie Driscoll, the north of Tyne mayor who is having to miss the meeting, told the Today programme this sort of problem was becoming routine. He said:
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We’ve had a transport for the north meeting in Manchester and the mayors couldn’t get there because the trains were cancelled. The irony of it, it would be funny if it wasn’t so serious.
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My colleague Tobi Thomas has the story here.
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There is more bad news for Rishi Sunak at the ConservativeHome website this morning. It carries out a regular survey of Conservative party members, asking how they think cabinet ministers are performing, and it shows that Sunak is now rated as one of the worst-performing ministers in his cabinet. He has gone from fifth in the table, on a net approval rating of 49.9, to sixth from bottom, on a net approval rating of 9.
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Three of the ministers who are doing worse are not even full members of the cabinet, and so the only proper cabinet ministers doing worse are Grant Shapps, the business secretary, and Jeremy Hunt, the chancellor.
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Hunt’s performance must be linked to a related finding from the survey, published yesterday: a plurality of Conservative party members do not support the government’s economic policy.
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Sunak, of course, was chosen by MPs. He lost to Liz Truss when Conservative party members chose a leader in the summer, and he became leader in October because he ended up as the only candidate with enough nominations from MPs who wanted to stand.
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As Paul Goodman explains in his write-up for the website, the survey also shows the average performance score for the cabinet is at a record low. “The panel has clearly felt that the government, in its various manifestations, has not been performing well for some time,” he says.
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Steve Barclay, the health secretary, issued a statement this morning in response to the strike announcement from Unison. He said that its call for an above-inflation pay rise was “not affordable”. He said:
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\n
I’m hugely grateful for the hard work and dedication of NHS staff and deeply regret some will be taking industrial action – which is in nobody’s best interests as we approach a challenging winter.
\n
Our economic circumstances mean unions’ demands are not affordable. Each additional 1% pay rise for all staff on the Agenda for Change contract would cost around £700 million a year.
\n
We’ve prioritised the NHS with record funding and accepted the independent pay review body recommendations in full to give over one million NHS workers a pay rise of at least £1,400 this year, with those on the lowest salaries receiving an increase of up to 9.3%.
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This is on top of 3% last year when public sector pay was frozen and wider government support with the cost of living.
\n
Our priority is keeping patients safe during any strikes and the NHS has tried and tested plans to minimise disruption and ensure emergency services continue to operate.
\n
My door remains open to discuss with the unions ways we can make the NHS a better place to work.
\n
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Good morning. Rishi Sunak is preparing for PMQs this morning. It will be only his fifth exchange with Keir Starmer, and he may be wondering what happened to the notion about new prime ministers enjoying a honeymoon in their first few weeks in post. As he ponders what Starmer might ask about, he will realise that the outlook is dire. Here, in no particular order, are 10 of the problems he has to address.
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1) Strikes are escalating. Today Royal Mail workers, university lecturers and sixth-form college staff are all taking industrial action. And last night Unison announced that health workers in England, including ambulance staff and 999 call handlers, have voted to go on strike, probably before Christmas. Christina McAnea, the Unison general secretary, said:
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The decision to take action and lose a day’s pay is always a tough call. It’s especially challenging for those whose jobs involve caring and saving lives.
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But thousands of ambulance staff and their NHS colleagues know delays won’t lessen, nor waiting times reduce, until the government acts on wages. That’s why they’ve taken the difficult decision to strike.
\n
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2) The Tory split over onshore windfarms is no closer to getting resolved. Today the Times reports that Sir John Hayes has now got 19 colleagues to back an anti-windfarm amendment to the levelling up bill, as a counter to the pro-windfarm one tabled by Simon Clarke.
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3) Rail transport is still terrible in the north of England. Metro mayors in the north are meeting Mark Haper, the transport secretary, today and Tracy Brabin, the Labour West Yorkshire mayor, says: “This chaos is having a devastating impact on the northern economy.”
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4) And drivers who have been held up by Just Stop Oil protests are still angry about the disruption. Today Suella Braverman, the home secretary, is meeting police chiefs to discuss the problem.
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5) Labour is launching a new attack over the windfall tax. Sunak may have thought that the relatively wide windfall tax in the autumn statement would neutralise this as a campaign argument for Labour, but today the opposition that its own plans for a beefed up windfall tax could raise another £17bn.
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6) Tory China hawks were not impressed by Sunak’s “robust pragmatism” rhetoric in his speech on Monday, and are pushing for a tougher response to the arrest and assault of a BBC journalist by police in Shanghai.
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7) Michael Gove’s journalistic back catalogue is making it hard for Sunak to attack Labour over its plan to put VAT on private school fees. The shadow education secretary, Bridget Phillipson, posted this on Twitter on Monday.
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“Removing the tax advantages of private schools would boost standards in the state sector and raise vital extra funds.”
For once, I agree with Michael Gove. It’s just a shame the Prime Minister doesn’t. https://t.co/LZUXBzjpwR
— Bridget Phillipson (@bphillipsonMP) November 28, 2022
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8) The government still has not got a credible plan for reducing the number of people crossing the Channel in small boats.
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9) NHS waiting times are still at record highs, and winter has not even properly started yet.
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10) Polling for the Conservative party remains abysmal. “The Conservative brand is in as bad a state as I have seen in all my years of polling,” said Lord Ashcroft, the former Tory deputy chairman and leading pollster in a report out at the weekend. In a report full of depressing charts for the Tories, the one below was probably the worst. It shows that, on the two issues that matter most to voters, Labour has a decisive lead over the Conservatives. (If it were not for the cost of living metric, the chart would show Labour having the biggest lead on the issue of most importance to voters, the NHS, which is polling nirvana for a political party).
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Here is the agenda for the day.
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9.15am: Mel Stride, the work and pensions secretary, gives evidence to the Commons work and pensions committee.
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9.50am: Dame Jenny Harries, head of the UK Health Security Agency, gives evidence to the Commons science committee about lessons to be learnt from coronavirus pandemic. At 10.30am Neil O’Brien, the health minister, gives evidence, and at 11.15am Dame Kate Bingham, chair of the vaccine taskforce, gives evidence.
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10am: Mark Drakeford, the Welsh first minister, gives evidence to the Commons Welsh affairs committee.
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12pm: Rishi Sunak faces Keir Starmer at PMQs.
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1.30pm: Kemi Badenoch, the international trade secretary, gives evidence to the Commons international trade committee.
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I try to monitor the comments below the line (BTL) but it is impossible to read them all. If you have a direct question, do include “Andrew” in it somewhere and I’m more likely to find it. I do try to answer questions and, if they are of general interest, I will post the question and reply above the line (ATL), although I can’t promise to do this for everyone.
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If you want to attract my attention quickly, it is probably better to use Twitter. I’m on @AndrewSparrow.
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Alternatively, you can email me at andrew.sparrow@theguardian.com
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Filters BETA
Kirsten Oswald (SNP) asks why Sunak won’t scrap the retained EU law (revocation and repeal) bill.
Sunak says getting rid of EU law will increase prosperity.
Paul Bristow (Con) says the small boat crossings are a national emergency. He calls for a Cobra-style committee to address this.
Sunak says the government will take extra powers if it has to do address this. Labour has blocked every proposal on this, he says.
Colleen Fletcher (Lab) says a vulnerable teenager in the West Midlands had to spend two days in a police station because mental health services were not available.
Sunak says the government is already paying for more mental health support in schools.
Catherine West (Lab) says the Royal Mail paid records sums to shareholders last year, but is now cutting services. Why won’t the government investigate the mismanagement of this service?
Sunak says he has nothing but gratitude and appreciation for the work of postal workers. But their pay demands are unaffordable, he says.
Munira Wilson (Lib Dem) asks if Sunak will deliver for Marcus Rashford and extend free school meals.
Sunak says the government is already funding initiatives such as breakfast clubs.
Esther McVey (Con) says the trains from the north-west have got worse. What is the government going to do to sort this out, and get the service back to what it used to be. It is “completely unacceptable”.
Sunak says McVey is right to say the Avanti service is unacceptable. The transport secretary is monitoring this, he says. But it needs union cooperation.
Andy McDonald (Lab) says it was sad to see Sunak in a student video saying he did not have any working-class friends. And he won’t make any with the pay offers he is offering public sector workers.
Sunak says he admires nurses, but a 19% pay rise is unaffordable.
Gordon Henderson (Con) asks when the government will pass emergency legislation to make it easier to remove people crossing the Channel in small boats.
Sunak says the Nationality and Borders Act gives the authorities new powers, which they will use. And it is willing to take more powers, he says.
Abena Oppong-Asare (Lab) asks about the killings of two teenagers in her constituency this weekend. What is the PM doing to address the knife crime epidemic?
Sunak says this was an awful tragedy. He says police numbers are going up. And the police are getting new powers, he says.
Ian Blackford, the SNP leader at Westminster, wishes people a happy St Andrew’s Day. St Andrew is celebrated throughout Europe. So it is sad to watch Sunak champion a law that would rip up 4,000 EU laws. And it is sad to see Labour refusing to oppose Brexit, he says.
Sunak says he was proud to support Brexit. It was right for the country. It allowed us to get control of our borders, he says.
MPs laugh at that point.
He says the government is also seizing the economic opportunities, and deregulating.
Blackford says even Tory voters do not believe Sunak on Brexit. More and more people say it was a bad idea. And they can see that ‘make Brexit work’ is just a stupid slogan. What is the democratic path for independence?
Sunak says the difference between him and Blackford is he respects the referendum result. And he claims that the UK had the fastest vaccine rollout because of Brexit.
(That is not true – as a full EU member the UK could still have run its own vaccine programme, although it is arguable that a more pro-EU government than Boris Johnson’s might have stuck with the EU version.)
Starmer says every week Sunak hands out cash to people who don’t need it, and every week he gets pushed around by his party. He says Sunak should let Labour back him on planning. “Country before party, that’s the Labour way.”
Sunak says Starmer tells his party what it wants to hear.
It is the politics of yesterday with him, or the future of the country with me.
Starmer says the age at which people can buy a home keeps going up. He loves his kids, but he does not want to be cooking them dinner in 30 years time. Apparently Sunak is having a relaunch. He will be tough. How tough will he be on his MPs opposing planning reforms.
Sunak says Starmer is too weak to stop his MPs joining picket lines.
Starmer says Sunak should get out more. He talks about aspiration. What has happened to home ownership?
Sunak says housebuilding is going up. And when the Tories came to power, housebuilding was at a record low.
Starmer says Sunak is being pushed around by lobbyists. He says that money (effective subsidies for private schools) could be better spent. Starmer says he has made his choice; Sunak must make his.
Sunak says he is about aspiration.
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Guardian
