REFORM are on track to win the next election, according to a bombshell new poll.
More than a third of voters said they will support Nigel Farage’s party, as reported by the Telegraph.
Figures from the Ipsos survey, of 1,180 people, revealed 34 per cent of voted for Reform, ahead of 25 per cent who were in favour of Labour.
It also emerged only 15 per cent of users elected the Conservatives.
This represents a significant milestone for Reform in a survey, and Mr. Farage responded to The Telegraph saying: “This survey demonstrates that Reform can and will emerge victorious in the upcoming general election.”
The news outlet estimated if the poll was taken in four years time, Farage would win more than 400 seats and a majority.
It could see the party leader win his place as the UK’s next Prime Minister.
The research also suggested Labour would lose around 270 seats, while the Conservatives would have less than 10.
Despite the stats, it is important to bare in mind opinion polls and seat numbers are very hard to correlate.
A Reform UK source said: “This is big Reform majority territory.”
On the other hand, Gideon Skinner, the senior director of UK politics at Ipsos, remarked: “The past year has truly felt like an eternity in politics, and our latest voting intention survey following the election reveals just how dramatically the political terrain has shifted since then.
“Reform UK has steadily bolstered its achievements, buoyed by intense enthusiasm among its supporters and notably among working-class voters, garnering support from both Labour and particularly the Conservatives, who are struggling to regain momentum.”
He added: “The disappointment with Labour is clear, even among those who voted for the party in 2024.
“We know from Ipsos research how difficult it has been to shift entrenched public pessimism over the cost of living, immigration, and the state of public services, and so far, Britons do not think Labour is delivering the tangible change they were hoping for in 2024.
“This is reflected in satisfaction ratings for the government and Prime Minister that – while not quite the worst Ipsos has ever seen – are well below the average we usually see coming up to a one year anniversary.
“Indeed, they look remarkably similar to the poor ratings received by Gordon Brown in 2008 after the financial crash.
“Labour will be hoping that the Spending Review will start to switch the narrative to a more positive one of renewal, but the challenge they face is significant.
“This research also marks a new methodological approach for Ipsos, using our online KnowledgePanel based on gold-standard random probability sampling, and other changes we have made since the general election.
“As with any individual survey it is important to remember that margins of error apply, and results should be interpreted in the round along with other sources of data.
“As always, Ipsos will continue to review this new approach, and may make further refinements in the future if necessary.”
‘Biggest shake-up in British politics in a century’
By Kate Ferguson, Political editor Sun on Sunday
NIGEL Farage looks set to go from political insurgent to one of Britain’s most powerful ever Prime Ministers in just one election cycle.
Reform UK will go from just 5 seats at the last election to sweeping to power with a mega majority of nearly 200 seats, the survey suggests.
That would mean the biggest shake-up in British politics in 100 years.
For the past century, UK politics has been a battle between the Tories and the Labour Party.
Now Reform UK is on course to sweep them both away and become the next government.
Other political parties have tried to do this – but none have succeeded.
It is an astonishing tale of the rise and rise of one man – Nigel Farage.
Once derided by critics as a wacky insurgent – influential as a Brexit campaigner but not a man who could lead a major political party – Nigel has finally proved his critics wrong.
The collapse in support for Labour and Sir Keir Starmer is astonishing when you think that just a year ago he swept to power with the biggest majority in a generation.
It shows just how angry and disillusioned voters are. They want change – and that is why they are changing who they vote for.
The figures are more proof of dwindling support for Labour, with Sir Keir Starmer the least popular prime minister at this point of his term, according to Ipsos polls.
Only 19 per cent of poll voters said they were satisfied with his work, with 73 per cent dissatisfied.
The Tories may also be disappointed to learn just 29 per cent of 2024 voters are happy with Kemi Badenoch.
And both the Conservatives and Labour have lost around 50 per cent of those who originally voted for them in the general election.
Meanwhile, Reform has kept 95 per cent of their supporters on side.
The poll also compiled information on who the party voters are.
The majority, 53 per cent, were revealed to be in the lower social classes known as C2, D and E.
This comes after Dominic Cummings declared Farage is on course for No10 as the Tories “might be dead”,
The former No10 maverick said the Reform UK boss could “definitely” seize power as the public turns on Britain’s broken political system.
He told Sky News: “It could definitely happen now, yeah, because the old system’s just so completely broken.”
The mastermind behind Brexit revealed he has been advising Mr Farage on how to scale up Reform – with policy plans, serious candidates and a team capable of running the country.
He added: “Reform has been a one-man band. It’s been Nigel and an iPhone.
“They can win 50, 100, 150 seats with Reform as Nigel and an iPhone.
“But they can’t win an overall general election and have a plan for government and have a serious team able to take over in Downing Street and govern and control Whitehall with one man and an iPhone.”
In a devastating verdict on his former party, he added: “It’s quite possible the Tories have just, kind of, crossed the event horizon and actually aren’t salvageable.”
And he also predicted Kemi Badenoch, who only became Tory leader last year, will be ousted within months.
He said: “Kemi is going to go, probably this year.
“There are already people who are organising to get rid of her, and I think that that will work.
“If it doesn’t work this year, it will definitely happen after next May.”
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