7. Strathtay carries an extra 3kg from last start at Rosehill, but it was an impressive win. Even allowing for the fact that he travelled on the fence, which was an advantage at that meeting, once the former Kiwi angled into the clear he exploded late to put 3lengths on his rivals. The four-year-old was only second up. Punters can take plenty of confidence from how he ploughed through the heavy conditions clocking one of the fastest last 200m splits of the meeting. 6. Kapakiri is set up to improve again third up. His first-up performance behind Franz Josef and Captain Furai flagged that he had come back well. Four weeks later he darted up the fence to hit the front, but his run ended. That was just last Saturday behind two smart imports. That race should prove a strong form reference.
How to play it: Strathtay to win.
Race 6 – 2PM THANK YOU ATC MEMBERS HANDICAP (1100 METRES)
2. Mogo Magic zipped across to lead at Canterbury last start, gave a kick but tired late as 1. Jedibeel proved too strong at the finish. The four-year-old was at his top for much of the race. Thought Mogo Magic was exceptional first up when third to The Black Cloud despite burning across to sit on the shoulder of Passeggiata. A thankless task. That was with 60.5kg on his back. The Goulburn-based sprinter is yet to see a heavy track but has handled soft going in the past and he looks well paired with Amy McLucas. Winkers go on for the first time. That’s no knock on Jedibeel. He has won two from three since being gelded. 8. One Destiny has won two of his past three with the miss a second to InFlight, which has won again since. Great wet-tracker and gets in with 52.5kg after the claim.
How to play it: Mogo Magic to win.
Race 7 – 2.35PM RACING FOR GOOD ON JULY 13 HANDICAP (1100 METRES)
8. Wild Botanica looks ready to win. That would replicate what the mare did last campaign when scoring third up. Like what the four-year-old mare has done in two runs back. She chased home The Black Cloud first up at Randwick over 1000m before finishing third behind In Flight at Rosehill three weeks ago. She settled outside of the leader, hitting the front a long way out. She kept trying all the way to the line but was collared late. In Flight has won again since, so has the runner up, One Destiny. Back to mares grade. 1. Shezanalister has been set a task first up on a heavy track with 61kg, but went to another level last campaign, winning three straight. That’s now five wins from 13 starts. Gives every indication that there is still more to come. Trialled well twice and maps to get the right run. 5. Our Bellagio Miss was chipping into the margin at Randwick last start behind Fleetwood.
How to play it: Wild Botanica to win.
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Race 8 – 3.15PM JAMES SQUIRE WINTER STAKES (1400 METRES)
Taking a punt on 12. Pacific Ruby. Her benchmark rating suggests that she is a little out of her depth on Saturday, but this isn’t a deep listed race. The other significant consideration is that there aren’t many proven heavy-trackers. She is. The mare resumed from a 40-week spell at Doomben last start and the lack of market support suggested she would need the run. Pacific Ruby wouldn’t be here if the stable didn’t think she was up to the task. This time last year she beat He’s our Bonneval and Barbie’s Fox at Sandown. 3. Iknowastar backs up after giving a sight at Eagle Farm last Saturday. He is a very fit horse now and will give a sight as he always does. Looks well suited to Nash Rawiller and the drop back to 1400m is offset by the likely testing conditions. Don’t think he loves heavy ground, but he got through it OK in The Coast at Newcastle.
How to play it: Pacific Ruby each way.
Race 9 – 3.50PM CATANACH’S JEWELLERS HANDICAP (1200 METRES)
8. Elson Boy extended the picket fence to six straight wins last start at Rosehill. The four-year-old jumps in grade again, but he won a deep race at Scone before proving too slippery for Testator Silens three weeks ago. That horse just missed himself in BM88 company on Saturday, starting $3.80. The gelding is as tough as a $2 steak, and apprentice jockey Chelsea Hillier knows the sprinter inside out: let him cruise along out in front, breaking his rivals hearts. Two of his past three wins have been on heavy tracks. The timing looks to be right to push the button and ride 7. With Your Blessing more forward. The blinkers went on third up last campaign at Kembla Grange, he led and bolted in on heavy ground. He left 5. Contemporary in his dust with four lengths back to second. 1. Bacchanalia gets a pass mark for his June Stakes effort, but he has a history of improving with a run under his belt.
How to play it: Elson Boy to win; 7-8 quinella.
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Race 10 – 4.30PM TAB HANDICAP (1400 METRES)
10. Pure Alpha looks to have so much more to come. The three-year-old had every chance at the midweeks last start, camping in behind a moderate speed, but when he angled into the clear he ran right through the line to win running away. The margin flattered his rivals. More pressure and he’d have won by further. That was on a heavy track. Respect that he jumped $1.80 and that it was just his fourth career start. The barrier looks awkward on paper but he should be able to stride across to settle outside of 3. Cool Jakey. Joe Pride’s galloper improved sharply second up, just as he did last campaign. That coincided with the blinkers going back on and ridden to find the front. Another heavy track should see him hold his form. Loses Nash Rawiller, but drops 5kg after the claim of Zac Wadick.
How to play it: Pure Alpha to win.
Supplied by Racing NSW
Full form and race replays available at racingnsw.com.au
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