A Putin victory would be a green light for tyrants everywhere

Russia caused an uproar almost three years ago by invading Ukraine in a brutal and illegal manner, violating international law. This invasion marked the first significant conventional war in Europe since World War II.

The world’s main fear is, of course, a nuclear conflict, which would end everything. But the misery created by non-nuclear combat is terrible.

We have seen massacres, streams of refugees forced from their homes by terror, and appalling destruction of cities. 

Countless young men have suffered death, injuries, and disfigurement as a result of this conflict. Vast areas of the countryside have been transformed into destroyed and uninhabitable wastelands.

The Ukrainian people have faced the harsh realities of war, dealing with constant power shortages that are essential for maintaining a modern society. Despite these challenges, they have not surrendered.

A new state, born less than 34 years ago out of the collapse of the Soviet Union and still taking shape, has been hardened by battle and suffering into a self-conscious, deeply patriotic nation. 

President Volodymyr Zelensky has borne himself with dignity and courage, never flinching from a hard task forced upon him by events. Let us not forget that he came from outside Ukraine’s political class, and that his original platform was one of peace, not war.

Russia, meanwhile, has sunk deeper into a grim autocracy. President Vladimir Putin has never even admitted that his ‘Special Military Operation’ is an invasion, and has almost entirely stamped out free speech as he persecutes any who dare to oppose him. 

Vladimir Putin listens to a report by Transport Minister Roman Starovoit during a one-on-one meeting at the Kremlin on January 30

Vladimir Putin listens to a report by Transport Minister Roman Starovoit during a one-on-one meeting at the Kremlin on January 30

Firefighters put out fire in a apartment building following a Russian rocket attack in Poltava, Ukraine, on February 1

Firefighters put out fire in a apartment building following a Russian rocket attack in Poltava, Ukraine, on February 1

In The Mail on Sunday today, a highly experienced military and political figure, Sir Iain Duncan Smith (pictured), says bluntly that Ukraine is fighting with one arm tied behind its back

In The Mail on Sunday today, a highly experienced military and political figure, Sir Iain Duncan Smith (pictured), says bluntly that Ukraine is fighting with one arm tied behind its back

His armed forces have inflicted a great deal of damage and loss, but they have also suffered terrible casualties, as many crammed new cemeteries in Russia testify.

So what are we to do now? Britain’s role has from the start been important. We have armed, aided and encouraged Ukraine in its battle to fight off its far larger, far richer and far more ruthless neighbour. 

Some of our military equipment has been highly effective on land and sea in destroying key parts of the Putin war machine. But by ourselves we cannot supply all the needs of Kyiv.

What we can do, as a pillar of Nato and as the USA’s oldest and most reliable friend, is to urge our American and European allies to stay in the fight. We should strongly advocate their continuing and powerful support to ensure that Putin does not get away with his brutal, expansionist adventure.

In The Mail on Sunday today, a highly experienced military and political figure, Sir Iain Duncan Smith, says bluntly that Ukraine is fighting with one arm tied behind its back.

Rubble lies in a yard of a residential house heavily damaged by Russian drone on February 1 in Kharkiv

Rubble lies in a yard of a residential house heavily damaged by Russian drone on February 1 in Kharkiv 

Recruits of the 'Alcatraz' assault battalion composed of ex-prisoners prepare for medical and trench training in Donetsk Oblast on January 31

Recruits of the ‘Alcatraz’ assault battalion composed of ex-prisoners prepare for medical and trench training in Donetsk Oblast on January 31

Ukrainian rescuers work at the site of a rocket strike on a residential building in Poltava, Ukraine

Ukrainian rescuers work at the site of a rocket strike on a residential building in Poltava, Ukraine

Onlookers gather in front of a damaged hotel following a Russian missile attack in Odesa on January 31

Onlookers gather in front of a damaged hotel following a Russian missile attack in Odesa on January 31

Sir Iain, a Sandhurst-trained former Army officer, knows what he is talking about. On a recent visit he noticed that front-line Ukrainian troops were having to improvise with antique British equipment dating from half a century ago.

Sir Iain correctly points out that American interest has recently shifted to other theatres of war, especially Taiwan and Israel. 

But he also says a Western failure in Ukraine would increase the danger in both these places. Aggressive tyrants all over the world are waiting to see the outcome. They would be hugely encouraged by a Putin triumph.

Much depends on the attitude taken by the newly re-elected US President Donald Trump, who once said he could end the Ukraine war in 24 hours. It seems that he is not so sure now.

Britain should be doing all it can to persuade him that Ukraine’s struggle for independence and freedom is worth fighting and winning.

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