Mexico aimed to win this Saturday against Argentina if they wanted to have an easier road to the Round of 16. Losing meant Mexico wouldn’t depend on themselves to make it to the next stage. Their next rival will be Saudi Arabia and there are many combinations that present different scenarios. Let’s discuss what will happen with many different results in the two games left inside Group C.
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Win vs Saudi Arabia and Poland wins
If Mexico beats Saudi Arabia and Poland beats Argentina, el Tri would qualify to the next round without having to worry about their goal difference. This would leave Poland in first place and Mexico would go through in second place within the group. If they go through like this, they would play the Round of 16 against Group D’s winner, which right now is France.
Win vs Saudi Arabia and Poland draws with Argentina
In case Argentina and Poland draw in their last game, Mexico should beat Saudi Arabia by at least 3 goals. If the draw ends with goals, Mexico would need to beat Saudi Arabia with a 4-0 result. This is a major problem if we consider Mexico hasn’t scored a single goal in two World Cup games. Mexico would advance if these combinations take place.
Win vs Saudi Arabia and Argentina loses to Poland
In case Argentina beats Poland, Mexico’s road to the next round could be even more complicated. Their negative goal difference means Mexico needs to beat Saudi Arabia by a large goal margin, right now it’s 4 goals but that can easily change if Poland scores goals against Argentina. Scaloni’s men need to near Poland by many goals for Mexico to qualify.
Loss or draw vs Saudi Arabia
There is no other way to look at this, a draw or a loss against Saudi Arabia would definitely eliminate Mexico from the World Cup. This nation hasn’t bowed out of the Group Stage wince the 1978 World Cup in Argentina. This ws already a massive blow for Mexico but getting eliminated in the group stage would be a historical flop. Manager Gerardo Martino’s job would be in danger if this happens.
Group C standings
- Poland: 4 points (2)
- Argentina: 3 points (1)
- Saudi Arabia: 3 points (-1)
- Mexico: 1 point (-2)
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